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Red89
319721.3
9325.2
642121.4
Blue90
282322.7
569023.8
286116.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74664050607080901008990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#11
25.20.7
24.425.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
red by 1.3
5690
#25
23.80.9
22.923.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Second
6421
#32
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 1.2
22.70.9
21.722.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Third
3197
#16
21.30.7
20.621.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 4.4
2861
#38
16.90.9
15.916.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7