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Red88
590322.5
638120.8
253117.1
Blue65
282322.7
569023.8
286116.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67704060801001208865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
22.50.7
22.623.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 1.4
5690
#25
23.80.1
23.823.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Second
20.80.7
20.921.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.6
blue by 1.8
22.70.1
22.622.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Third
2531
#18
17.10.7
17.218.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 0.2
2861
#38
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7