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Red76
451114.7
297722.1
181625.3
Blue85
253117.1
638120.8
590322.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68652040801001207685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.4
25.025.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.8
End1.1
red by 2.8
5903
#13
22.50.5
22.022.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
22.10.4
21.822.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End1.8
red by 1.3
20.80.5
20.420.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.6
Third
4511
#26
14.70.4
14.314.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 2.4
2531
#18
17.10.5
16.617.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End2.5