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Red84
779718.6
565314.2
534825.0
Blue59
284718.8
591417.6
93016.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66583040507080901008459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#12
25.00.5
25.325.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 6.2
18.80.2
18.819.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Second
18.60.5
18.919.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
red by 1.0
5914
#30
17.60.2
17.617.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Third
5653
#28
14.20.5
14.514.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
930
#10
16.80.2
16.817.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.5