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Red82
319721.3
9325.2
642121.4
Blue58
418111.8
218117.1
400921.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70534060801008258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#11
25.20.5
22.923.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
red by 4.0
4009
#21
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Second
6421
#32
21.40.5
19.219.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
red by 4.3
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Third
3197
#16
21.30.5
19.219.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 9.5
4181
#35
11.80.0
11.711.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End0.7