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Red38
320622.5
99996.9
957619.1
Blue48
546418.6
99986.9
523217.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56553040506070803848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 3.8
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 1.9
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody odds19%Melody odds
Ensemble
13%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds