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Red45
340711.6
99996.9
569025.6
Blue9
216915.9
99986.9
251210.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51440206080100459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
red by 9.7
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 1.5
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody odds23%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds3%Ensemble odds