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Red55
327514.0
99996.9
181629.9
Blue49
565321.8
99986.9
957619.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576201001505549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 8.1
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 5.1
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody odds53%Melody odds
Ensemble
16%Ensemble odds9%Ensemble odds