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Red19
523217.2
99996.9
320622.5
Blue32
340711.6
99986.9
546418.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53490204060801001932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 3.8
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
red by 5.6
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody odds26%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds