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Red20
327514.0
99996.9
249127.4
Blue41
313417.4
99986.9
181629.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527101001502041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 2.5
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Second
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 3.4
3134
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody odds44%Melody odds
Ensemble
21%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds