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Red34
340711.6
99996.9
313417.4
Blue48
523217.2
99986.9
327514.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801001201401603448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
red by 0.2
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Second
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 2.4
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody odds36%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds