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Red6
565321.8
99996.9
216915.9
Blue42
957619.1
99986.9
249127.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4871020406080100120140642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 5.6
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 3.2
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody odds54%Melody odds
Ensemble
23%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds