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Red18
251210.1
99996.9
320622.5
Blue71
569025.6
99986.9
181629.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983020601001201401601871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
blue by 7.4
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Second
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 15.5
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody odds69%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds