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Red34
327514.0
99996.9
340711.6
Blue54
546418.6
99986.9
565321.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3365020801001201401603454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 7.9
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 7.0
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody odds45%Melody odds
Ensemble
13%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds