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Red49
320622.5
99996.9
569025.6
Blue22
216915.9
99986.9
249127.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62640501001502002504922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
blue by 1.8
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 6.6
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody odds57%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds