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Red56
546418.6
99996.9
249127.4
Blue41
181629.9
99986.9
340711.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606301001502002503003504005641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 2.5
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Second
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 7.0
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody odds52%Melody odds
Ensemble
29%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds