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Red44
251210.1
99996.9
327514.0
Blue46
565321.8
99986.9
320622.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30700204060801001201401604446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 8.5
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Second
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 11.8
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody odds62%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds