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Red41
569025.6
99996.9
546418.6
Blue54
181629.9
99986.9
523217.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567001001502004154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
blue by 4.3
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Second
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 1.4
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody odds42%Melody odds
Ensemble
15%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds