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Red70
181629.9
99996.9
216915.9
Blue36
565321.8
99986.9
327514.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605502040801007036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 8.1
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 1.9
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody odds66%Melody odds
Ensemble
15%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds