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Red72
320622.5
99996.9
249127.4
Blue33
313417.4
99986.9
546418.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665502040801001207233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 8.8
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
red by 5.1
3134
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody odds20%Melody odds
Ensemble
17%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds