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Red32
565321.8
99996.9
249127.4
Blue25
251210.1
99986.9
523217.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664302060801001201403225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 10.2
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Second
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 11.8
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody odds12%Melody odds
Ensemble
36%Ensemble odds3%Ensemble odds