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Red57
310221.9
384812.3
546418.6
Blue77
784915.1
617523.3
181636.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457002060801001201405777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#29
21.90.6
19.219.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 14.4
36.31.4
28.630.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
5464
#26
18.60.7
14.114.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 4.6
6175
#43
23.31.4
21.122.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
Third
3848
#48
12.30.9
10.211.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 2.8
7849
#17
15.11.9
10.512.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed