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Red52
703813.5
313420.9
791518.4
Blue65
250922.5
757819.6
767718.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584001002003004005265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#37
20.90.2
19.419.5
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 1.6
2509
#31
22.53.0
13.116.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Second
7915
#22
18.40.2
17.217.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.6
End4.1
blue by 1.1
7578
#13
19.63.0
10.713.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Third
7038
#47
13.50.2
13.613.7
Auto7.9
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 5.3
7677
#40
18.82.2
14.116.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned