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Red95
725725.9
818825.9
313029.1
Blue59
953530.4
25388.1
327636.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66744060801001201409559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.12.8
20.323.1
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 7.2
36.30.6
31.230.6
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
Second
25.93.1
21.925.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 4.5
30.40.5
25.625.1
Auto8.5
Teleop17.8
End4.1
Third
8188
#18
25.92.8
18.421.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
red by 17.7
2538
#49
8.10.8
9.08.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed