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Red60
83729.8
266716.7
331315.4
Blue92
674919.9
670923.2
330013.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3849102030607080906092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#27
16.71.8
17.419.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 6.4
6709
#15
23.22.2
20.522.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Second
3313
#38
15.42.3
10.312.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 4.5
19.92.7
12.615.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
8372
#50
9.82.7
8.210.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 3.4
3300
#42
13.22.7
9.612.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned