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Red49
448012.2
423920.8
517229.6
Blue32
70489.1
305820.7
614623.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161405070804932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
29.61.4
25.724.3
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 5.7
6146
#25
23.92.0
24.522.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
4239
#46
20.81.4
18.617.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 0.1
3058
#16
20.72.0
18.316.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
4480
#33
12.21.9
12.010.1
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 3.1
7048
#52
9.12.0
11.69.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed