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Red61
331315.4
313420.9
250922.5
Blue90
617523.3
313029.1
953530.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498201001506190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#31
22.50.9
16.116.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 7.9
30.41.3
25.126.4
Auto8.5
Teleop17.8
End4.1
Second
3134
#37
20.90.6
19.520.1
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 8.2
29.11.4
23.124.5
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
3313
#38
15.40.7
12.613.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 7.9
6175
#43
23.31.4
22.423.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned