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Red65
818825.9
453624.9
757819.6
Blue83
181636.3
330013.2
546418.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801001206583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#18
25.90.4
21.221.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
blue by 10.4
36.31.9
30.031.9
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
4536
#41
24.90.4
20.320.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 6.3
5464
#26
18.61.9
14.816.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
7578
#13
19.60.5
13.714.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
red by 6.4
3300
#42
13.22.9
12.315.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed