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Red44
818825.9
250922.5
617523.3
Blue70
467416.4
288326.7
87635.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6592501504470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#18
25.91.2
21.620.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
blue by 9.7
876
#9
35.61.0
32.231.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Second
6175
#43
23.31.2
23.922.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
blue by 3.5
2883
#34
26.71.1
29.128.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Third
2509
#31
22.52.0
16.914.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
red by 6.1
4674
#35
16.41.0
18.717.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed