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Red71
546418.6
423920.8
477822.5
Blue85
472833.7
88789.8
674919.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5967405080901001107185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#20
22.51.1
19.420.5
Auto10.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
blue by 11.2
4728
#21
33.71.0
33.934.9
Auto12.9
Teleop17.9
End2.9
Second
4239
#46
20.81.1
18.219.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 0.9
19.91.7
16.918.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
5464
#26
18.61.1
16.717.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 8.8
8878
#32
9.81.0
8.910.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed