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Red55
604520.1
791518.4
453624.9
Blue73
670923.2
266716.7
702833.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637720401001201405573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#41
24.90.4
20.620.3
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 8.4
33.30.3
24.725.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Second
6045
#30
20.10.4
19.419.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 3.1
6709
#15
23.20.4
23.523.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
7915
#22
18.40.4
18.418.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.6
End4.1
red by 1.7
2667
#27
16.70.3
20.020.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned