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Red28
310221.9
37406.5
83729.8
Blue58
448012.2
460735.9
222713.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063020801001202858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#29
21.90.7
20.619.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 14.0
4607
#10
35.90.1
30.330.4
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
Second
8372
#50
9.81.2
11.09.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 4.1
2227
#36
13.90.1
16.116.3
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
Third
3740
#51
6.51.2
7.05.9
Auto6.3
Teleop1.2
End-1.0
blue by 5.7
4480
#33
12.20.2
7.98.1
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed