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Red42
330013.2
222713.9
825517.4
Blue115
460735.9
250922.5
702833.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43830206010012014042115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8255
#24
17.40.2
13.913.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End2.7
blue by 18.5
4607
#10
35.92.3
30.432.7
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
Second
2227
#36
13.90.2
16.316.0
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
blue by 19.5
33.32.3
25.027.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Third
3300
#42
13.20.4
13.513.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
2509
#31
22.53.9
14.918.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed