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Red60
767718.8
617523.3
448012.2
Blue42
477822.5
953530.4
266716.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477902040601001201406042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#43
23.30.6
22.623.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
blue by 7.1
30.41.7
27.125.3
Auto8.5
Teleop17.8
End4.1
Second
7677
#40
18.80.6
15.416.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
blue by 3.8
4778
#20
22.51.7
20.518.8
Auto10.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
4480
#33
12.21.0
8.19.0
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 4.5
2667
#27
16.71.7
20.318.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned