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Red24
384812.3
785815.5
37406.5
Blue45
25388.1
422618.5
305820.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334402060801002445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7858
#39
15.50.8
13.212.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 5.2
3058
#16
20.70.1
14.714.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Second
3848
#48
12.30.8
11.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 6.2
4226
#19
18.50.1
16.416.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.6
End3.9
Third
3740
#51
6.50.8
5.95.1
Auto6.3
Teleop1.2
End-1.0
blue by 1.6
2538
#49
8.10.2
7.27.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed