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Red71
757819.6
288326.7
254916.3
Blue48
327514.0
674919.9
614623.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606202040801001201401607148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#34
26.71.1
28.029.1
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 2.8
6146
#25
23.90.5
23.022.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
7578
#13
19.61.8
14.115.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 0.3
19.90.8
18.617.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
2549
#28
16.31.1
12.413.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 2.4
3275
#44
14.00.5
14.013.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed