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Red76
327723.4
453931.1
331315.4
Blue58
703813.5
725725.9
329722.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62663040507080901007658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.8
24.225.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
red by 5.2
25.90.1
25.024.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Second
3277
#14
23.40.8
19.620.4
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
red by 1.0
3297
#11
22.40.1
20.520.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.2
Third
3313
#38
15.40.9
13.214.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 1.9
7038
#47
13.50.1
13.913.8
Auto7.9
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsMissed