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Red39
546418.6
55412.3
517229.6
Blue92
702833.3
448012.2
953530.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5071204060801001201403992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
29.60.6
23.823.3
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 3.7
33.31.7
27.329.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Second
5464
#26
18.60.6
17.817.2
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 11.8
30.41.7
25.327.0
Auto8.5
Teleop17.8
End4.1
Third
5541
#53
2.30.9
5.95.0
Auto-1.3
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 10.0
4480
#33
12.22.8
9.011.9
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed