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Red74
87635.6
88789.8
305820.7
Blue13
375513.0
25388.1
330013.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663302040801001207413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#9
35.61.1
30.531.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
red by 22.4
3300
#42
13.22.3
13.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
3058
#16
20.71.1
14.815.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End2.0
red by 7.7
3755
#23
13.01.4
13.211.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
8878
#32
9.81.1
10.311.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 1.7
2538
#49
8.12.3
7.45.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed