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Red39
222713.9
266716.7
784915.1
Blue38
851615.3
422618.5
423920.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454404550603938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#27
16.70.6
18.617.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 4.1
4239
#46
20.80.7
20.319.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Second
7849
#17
15.11.1
14.113.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 3.4
4226
#19
18.50.7
16.615.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.6
End3.9
Third
2227
#36
13.90.6
16.015.4
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
blue by 1.4
8516
#45
15.30.7
12.211.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed