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Red72
37406.5
181636.3
767718.8
Blue36
288326.7
70489.1
88876.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801001201401607236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.0
31.632.6
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 9.5
2883
#34
26.71.0
29.128.1
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Second
7677
#40
18.81.0
16.017.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
red by 9.6
7048
#52
9.11.0
10.39.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Third
3740
#51
6.51.7
5.16.8
Auto6.3
Teleop1.2
End-1.0
blue by 0.2
8887
#54
6.61.6
6.24.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed