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Red86
757819.6
825517.4
453931.1
Blue61
254916.3
670923.2
331315.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615601001502008661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.12.0
25.027.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
red by 7.9
6709
#15
23.20.6
23.824.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Second
7578
#13
19.63.3
15.919.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
red by 3.2
2549
#28
16.30.6
13.514.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Third
8255
#24
17.42.0
13.715.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End2.7
red by 2.0
3313
#38
15.40.6
14.114.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed