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Red74
674919.9
327636.3
785815.5
Blue53
384812.3
250922.5
329722.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745302040601001201407453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.3
34.434.7
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
red by 13.8
2509
#31
22.50.3
18.819.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Second
19.90.5
17.718.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 2.5
3297
#11
22.40.2
20.420.6
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.2
Third
7858
#39
15.50.5
12.412.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 3.2
3848
#48
12.30.3
11.111.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed