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Red70
604520.1
674919.9
784915.1
Blue69
313420.9
460735.9
25388.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5577020401001201407069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#30
20.10.8
18.719.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 15.8
4607
#10
35.90.0
36.236.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
Second
19.91.2
20.221.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 1.0
3134
#37
20.90.0
21.921.9
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
7849
#17
15.11.2
13.815.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End0.5
red by 7.0
2538
#49
8.10.0
9.09.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed