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Red71
423920.8
725725.9
670923.2
Blue57
250922.5
327514.0
375513.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834802040601001201407157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.0
26.126.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 3.4
2509
#31
22.50.4
20.921.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Second
6709
#15
23.20.0
24.324.3
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 9.2
3275
#44
14.00.3
14.614.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
4239
#46
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 7.8
3755
#23
13.00.3
11.912.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed