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Red71
330013.2
851615.3
87635.6
Blue91
953530.4
327723.4
785815.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6375401001207191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#9
35.60.9
31.932.7
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
red by 5.2
30.41.0
29.030.0
Auto8.5
Teleop17.8
End4.1
Second
8516
#45
15.30.9
13.614.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.1
End1.1
blue by 8.1
3277
#14
23.41.0
22.323.2
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
3300
#42
13.21.2
12.814.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End1.8
blue by 2.3
7858
#39
15.51.4
15.316.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed