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Red82
329722.4
477822.5
453931.1
Blue62
310221.9
422618.5
818825.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776420401001201401608262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.9
28.229.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
red by 5.2
8188
#18
25.90.2
22.522.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
Second
4778
#20
22.50.9
20.121.0
Auto10.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
red by 0.6
3102
#29
21.90.2
20.320.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
Third
3297
#11
22.40.9
19.920.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.2
red by 3.9
4226
#19
18.50.2
16.616.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned50%Ensemble oddsMissed