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Red78
305820.7
288326.7
517229.6
Blue31
825517.4
88876.6
83729.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions862702040601001201401607831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
29.60.5
25.926.3
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 12.2
8255
#24
17.40.0
17.417.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End2.7
Second
2883
#34
26.70.5
26.627.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 16.9
8372
#50
9.80.1
9.79.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
3058
#16
20.70.5
18.619.1
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End2.0
red by 14.0
8887
#54
6.60.1
4.44.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed