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Red57
785815.5
460735.9
266716.7
Blue86
725725.9
614623.9
181636.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759640601201405786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#10
35.90.9
36.235.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
blue by 0.4
36.30.2
34.434.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
2667
#27
16.70.9
17.616.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 9.2
25.90.2
26.025.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
7858
#39
15.51.2
16.715.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 8.4
6146
#25
23.90.2
23.823.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned