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Red73
87635.6
331315.4
375513.0
Blue59
453624.9
546418.6
448012.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675802040801001201407359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#9
35.60.8
32.733.5
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
red by 10.6
4536
#41
24.90.0
23.323.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Second
3313
#38
15.40.8
14.615.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 3.2
5464
#26
18.60.0
18.118.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
3755
#23
13.00.8
12.213.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 0.8
4480
#33
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto7.6
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed